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A social media influence and infiltration operation led by the Internet Research Agency (IRA); A cyber hacking operation carried out by the Russian military intelligence (GRU); and; An infiltration operation of the Trump campaign. Chinese and Russian influence doesn't come through just information operations. Russian influence ops seek to fuel discord between Arctic ... When we use the term “we” it refers to an assessment by all three agencies. Russian Influence Operations Target Americans Cliff Kincaid A major case of what intelligence experts call "influence operations" emanating from Moscow is this week's "Rhodes Forum," which is sponsored by Vladimir Putin's close associate and former KGB official Vladimir Yakunin. These operations have continued through 2020 . November 9, 2021. Intelligence experts are monitoring the "competition between democratic systems and … Russian Influence The report describes in stunning detail the inner workings of the full Russian operation. Russian Influence Operations on Twitter. Hybrid Warfare and Active Measures | Small Wars Journal Titled “Overview of the major Russian information influence operations in Ukraine for the first half of 2021,” it breaks down the information operations, identifies key local actors … Russian Influence Operations on Twitter | InforMedia ... Russia’s global strategy for reasserting itself as a geopolitical superpower has led to an increased presence in Africa, where it has broadened efforts to shape the continent’s politics and pursue new economic opportunities to allay the effects of sanctions.While the presence of Russian military instructors and paramilitary groups in Libya and the Central African Republic … Through the Address, Poland also calls for enhancement of NATO-EU cooperation on the field of countering disinformation and influence operations and increasing cybersecurity. Russia has long been an innovator in the use of information and misinformation by its military. Another essential step to countering information warfare is for governments targeted by Russian influence operations to develop a metric of damage that acknowledges a range of objectives, including influencing elections. The 2007 DDoS attack on Estonia brought attention to large-scale attacks but network probing and small-scale hacks sometimes go unnoticed. Read more. disinformation operations were at the center of Russia’s interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. eventually Russian rule and influence. This chapter is part of a volume due out with Springer in early 2021, titled The Russian Federation in Global Information Warfare: Influence Operations in Europe and Its Near Abroad, edited by Vladimir Sazonov of the University of Tartu and Holger Mölder, Archil Chochia and Tanel Kerikmäe of the Tallinn University of Technology. Influence operations, which seek to leverage media and propaganda efforts as well as business and political ties to attain national goals are, if not always aboveboard, surely short of armed conflict. Russian Influence Operations in Washington. To discuss these questions and gauge the impact of Russian influence operations in the Western Balkans, The Henry Jackson Society is holding a panel discussion with Dr Dimitar Bechev, Dr Mira MiloÅ¡ević-Juaristi and Professor Vesko Garčević. The Ukraine Crisis Media Center’s Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group (HWAG) has compiled a report on major operations of Russian information influence in Ukraine in the first half of 2021.. Old Influence Operations Playbook, New Media Tools. "Unmasking Maskirovka," is Daniel Bagge's systematic deconstruction of how Russian cyber-influence operations are so deadly. As of January , when the Turkstream pipeline across the Black Sea began operations, Turkey stopped receiving Russian gas through the Trans-Balkan Pipeline from Ukraine, which it had done since the mids. According to the Annual address on foreign policy goals from 2016, Poland acknowledges that Russia seeks to expand its sphere of influence and inhibit the democratic transition of Eastern Europe with the means of hybrid activities, including propaganda. On matters important for Kremlin. The term ‘influence operation’ is, after all, used rather vaguely by Russian theorists themselves. Prigozhin is a Russian financier of the Internet Research Agency (IRA), the Russian troll farm that OFAC previously designated for interfering in the 2016 presidential election. The conceptual confusion is regrettable but also unsurprising. Immediate steps need to be taken to halt malign Russian influence. Konstantin Kilimnik (Kilimnik) is a Russian and Ukrainian political consultant and known Russian Intelligence Services agent implementing influence operations on their behalf. Independent numbers are hard to come by. This theory developed out of research into psychology and cybernetics as the Soviet Ministry of Defense sought to incorporate the … Titled “Overview of the major Russian information influence operations in Ukraine for the first half of 2021,” it breaks down the information operations, identifies key local actors … What the Mueller report tells us about Russian influence operations. Both Russia and China view influence operations as a key tool to project their power and influence abroad. To develop best approaches to these troubling trends, the United States must first understand the challenges posed by China and Both Russia and China recognize their conventional military disadvantage vis-à-vis conflict with the United States. According to the Estonian Internal Security Service, Russian influence operations in Estonia form a complex system of financial, political, economic and espionage activities in Republic of Estonia for the purposes of influencing Estonia's political and economic decisions in ways considered favourable to Russian Federation and conducted under the doctrine of near abroad. Russian Influence Operations on Twitter. The aim of these influence operations is “primarily to denigrate Vice President Biden and what the Russians see as kind of an anti-Russian establishment," he said. Intelligence agencies have found that Russia used influence operations to interfere with the 2016 presidential election in favor of Trump’s campaign and conducted operations in Trump’s favor in 2020. About. This book examines Russian influence operations globally, in Europe, and in Russia’s neighboring countries, and provides a comprehensive overview of the latest technologies and forms of strategic communication employed in hybrid warfare. Russia’s preeminent goals in the Balkans have been to refine their disinformation tactics and erode Western influence in the region. Russian influence operations in Canada are clandestine operations conducted by Russian government and government-affiliated entities against Canada. The Roy­al Unit­ed Ser­vices Insti­tute (RUSI), a UK think tank, pub­lished a study last year exam­in­ing China’s and Russia’s influ­ence oper­a­tions in Aus­tria. In 1710 the Russian Tsar, Peter I conquered the North-East part of current Latvia – Vidzeme, which together with Riga provided an exit to the Baltic Sea and its important trading lines. Finally, a third model of conducting influence operations is to use Russia’s state-owned enterprises – Rosneft, Gazprom, Rosatom, Rostech, etc. It follows with sections on Russia’s use of force and military power; influence and cyber operations; and foreign economic policies. This is the textbook for a graduate course in cyber that isn't being taught yet. Twitter scrubs accounts tied to Russian, Iranian influence operations. Kremlin Watch. The second major event was the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war between Azerbaijan and Armenia, in which Turkey and Russia served as major external stakeholders. The 2016 presidential election is a case in point. Terrorism. Russia was conducting political influence operations supported by intelligence activities. Convicted Russian Influence Agent With Ties To US Republicans Becomes Russian MP January 9 th , 2022 15:13 US media report­ed in Novem­ber that a con­vict­ed Russ­ian influ­ence agent with strong ties to the Repub­li­can Par­ty and Don­ald Trump had become a mem­ber of the Russ­ian par­lia­ment. While the Soviet Union may have collapsed nearly 30 years ago, Russia believes it is at war with the United States and that the United States is at war with it. This report is a declassified version of a highly classified assessment. The Russian-led alliance, the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), has said the force is part of a “peacekeeping” mission to … Technology-enabled influence operations, including disinformation, will likely figure prominently in adversary efforts to impede U.S. crisis response and alliance management in high-risk, high-impact scenarios under a nuclear shadow. The Free Rus­sia Foun­da­tion, a US think tank, report­ed last month about Russia’s influ­ence oper­a­tions in Lithua­nia. Russia uses messaging and intimidation in its efforts to influence multiple actors and countries. Researcher shows how Russian influence can occur in alternative U.S. media. He found evidence that popular sites such … Russian influence operations include a "toolkit of subversive statecraft" first developed by the Bolsheviks and later the Soviet Union and now "upgraded for the digital age," Mitchell said. As frequent targets, how can the United States and its European allies defend themselves? Russian influence operations are more sophisticated than seen before and now better designed to target the audience in different countries. The Association for Free Research and International Cooperation (AFRIC), a front company for Yevgeniy Prigozhin's influence operations in Africa. The effort to better understand Russia’s covert influence operations is being coordinated by James R. Clapper Jr., the director of national intelligence. The … Members of the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee traveled to Ukraine and Poland in 2016 and learned about Russian operations to influence their elections. Through various proxies, the Russian government carried out a multi-pronged attack against the United States that aimed to amplify pre-existing divisions in American society, sow distrust in the democratic process, and incite conflict. Through the Address, Poland also calls for enhancement of NATO-EU cooperatio… Their efforts are overt, using government offices and spokesmen to criticize American leaders, U.S.-based events, and U.S. engagement abroad, as well as covert where they seek to hide their involvement in the campaign. This document’s conclusions are Three main additional events triggered pro-Russian influence operations after 2019. – to offer foreign government officials preferential deals in return for influence. September 8 th, 2021 15:58. One day soon the leading schools in the West will be scrambling to teach this to intelligence officers, journalists, and political consultants. Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations. WikiLeaks’ and Russian media operations continued to influence public debate in Egypt after Mubarak stepped down. During the 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign, Kilimnik provided the Russian Intelligence Services with sensitive information on polling and campaign strategy. AUGUST 13, 2021 — A new study by Douglas Wilbur, a visiting scholar in the UTSA Department of Communication, examines the claims made by the fact-checking website Prop or Not that Russian propaganda targets the American public. Finding UK-related Tweets is not an easy task. During the twentieth century, the Soviet Union exploited But for influence operations that are more directly focused on a particular policy outcome, only those related to that issue will be effective. Combined with hack-and-leak operations targeting a senior Clinton aide and the Democratic National Committee, as well as efforts to break into multiple states’ voting systems, the Russian influence operation represented an unprecedented level of direct interference in U.S. politics by a foreign power. While bearing many similarities to influence operations, and often using many of the same techniques, Russia’s destabilization operations aim not just to influence, but also to stoke or amplify divisions and disorder among Russia’s adversaries. The report then analyzes U.S.-Russia relations, including U.S. policy during the current and prior Administrations and recent congressional actions. Ben Dubow is CTO and founder of Omelas, a firm that provides data and analysis on how nations manipulate the web to achieve their geopolitical goals. Senate’s Outside Russia Investigators Tied To Russian Bot ‘False Flag’. about Russian influence operations in Europe. Media reports, including dramatic documentaries and breathless biopics on the ten Russian “illegals” arrested … While Russian influence operations have a history that goes far beyond the concept of hybrid warfare, they have seldom gotten such attention. French and Russian Influence Operations Go Head to Head Targeting Audiences in Africa On December 15, Facebook announced that it had taken down three separate networks that it had discovered for “coordinated inauthentic … ‘Influence operation’ has become an easy catch-all term denoting a variety of hostile though usually non-military acts. Russia’s long-standing, overall foreign policy objective is to weaken adversaries, particularly countries on its periphery, those in NATO, and the United States, by any means available, and its information warfare targets social cohesion and political systems toward this aim. Finding UK-related Tweets is not an easy task. Ben Dubow on Detecting and Countering Malign Influence Operations. Russia has used these same tactics in recent years against other democracies, particularly in On 24 November 2019, WikiLeaks posted an email, purportedly from a whistleblower on the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) team assigned to investigate the chemical weapons attack on the Syrian city of Douma. The Baltic Sea Eastern shores were perceived by Russians as a “window to Europe”. Russian Influence Operations Target Americans. But the Russians were not eager to take credit for their own efforts. To discuss these questions and gauge the impact of Russian influence operations in the Western Balkans, The Henry Jackson Society is holding a panel discussion with Dr Dimitar Bechev, Dr Mira MiloÅ¡ević-Juaristi and Professor Vesko Garčević. Twitter has taken action against a slew of state-linked influence operations run from Russia, Iran and Armenia in recent days, the company announced Tuesday. He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having … For Norway, the challenge is Russia’s attempts to fuel disagreements people in the north have with decisions taken in Oslo. He has a background in research on Russian and Chinese online information operations and is a recognized expert, having … Russia’s relations with key countries and regions. Continuing influence. Russia’s interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential elections has focused American attention on the long-standing and complicated subject of malign foreign influence operations. Summary This short paper lays out an attempt to measure how much activity from Russian state-operated accounts released in the dataset made available by Twitter in October 2018 was targeted at the United Kingdom. The former Soviet Union used propaganda at home to strengthen domestic views of the state and information operations abroad to foster unrest among its adversaries and create favorable conditions on the battlefield. Still, the example of Turkey illustrates the limits of natural gas as a lever of influence for Russia. Dr. Vartanova also argued that Russia aims to use its influence to upset the current multi-polar world order in which the US is currently leading. China's influence operations offer a glimpse into the future of information warfare. As Kevin McCauley noted in his book, Russian Influence Campaigns against the West, the Soviets developed what they believed was an objective, scientific framework for evaluating information operations: reflexive control theory. – to offer foreign government officials preferential deals in return for influence. RealClearDefense. Chinese And Russian Influence In Austria. This chapter investigates the evolution of Russian hybrid means and the ends to which they are applied. 2016 US presidential election and draws on our understanding of previous Russian influence operations. November 15 th, 2021 14:46. OPCW, WikiLeaks, and Russian Influence Operations. The first was the emergence of COVID-19 and the onset of the global race for vaccines. Russia's operations in Crimea benefited from highly favorable circumstances — political, historical, geographical, and military — that limit their generalizability. The Ukraine Crisis Media Center’s Hybrid Warfare Analytical Group (HWAG) has compiled a report on major operations of Russian information influence in Ukraine in the first half of 2021.. Influence operations are selected from a very large toolbox spanning all three domains – the physical, the digital and the cognitive. Russia can select from a very large toolbox when engaging in influence operations.The different tools are all ultimately used in attempts to influence personal views and/or public opinion. Russia’s many activities have put the West on the defensive. to influence local populations—including information operations, cyber operations and the use of proxies, economic influence, clandestine operations, and political influence. by Cliff Kincaid on September 23, 2014. Both Russia and China recognize their conventional military disadvantage vis-à-vis conflict with the United … This book examines Russian influence operations globally, in Europe, and in Russia’s neighboring countries, and provides a comprehensive overview of the latest technologies and forms of strategic communication employed in hybrid warfare.
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